|
|
Prediction for CME (2024-06-25T05:00:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2024-06-25T05:00ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/31695/-1 CME Note: Partial halo CME visible to the west in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. The source is a large filament eruption. The filament extended from approximately N15W55 to S30W15 on the disk, with liftoff seen starting around 2024-06-24T21:40Z in SDO AIA 304. Dimming and post-eruptive loops are visible in SDO AIA 193. The eruption is also visible in STEREO A EUV 195 and 304. CME Shock Arrival Time: 2024-06-28T09:09Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: Max Kp: 7.67 Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-06-28T16:08Z Confidence that the CME will arrive: 46.6667% Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.945 - 4.945 Prediction Method: Average of all Methods Prediction Method Note: This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -7.95 hour(s) Difference: -6.98 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-06-28T17:06Z |
|
CCMC
Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME
model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before
performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival
Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with
the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting
forecasters/researchers. Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Collection Consent Agreement |